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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Sat 24 Jan 2026

15:30

Venue

Johan Cruijff Arena

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Ajax Win

68%

Ajax

1.47

20%

Draw

4.89

12%

FC Volendam

8.61

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.6%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

14.1%

Home win

1 – 1

9.5%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.94

Ajax xG

Total xG

2.59

0.65

FC Volendam xG

68%
20%
12%
AjaxDrawFC Volendam

1.47

68%

Home win

4.89

20%

Draw

8.61

12%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

41%

BTTS Yes

2.44

59%

BTTS No

1.69

Clean Sheet

52%

Ajax

1.92

14%

FC Volendam

6.94

Win to Nil

35%

Ajax

2.82

2%

FC Volendam

59.71

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.5 4.9 1.6 0.3 0.1
1 14.6 9.5 3.1 0.7 0.1
2 14.1 9.2 3.0 0.6 0.1
3 9.1 5.9 1.9 0.4 0.1
4 4.4 2.9 0.9 0.2
5 1.7 1.1 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.937
λ Away (xG) 0.651
Total xG 2.588
League avg home goals 1.675
League avg away goals 1.463
Ajax attack strength 0.974
Ajax defence strength 0.852
FC Volendam attack strength 0.522
FC Volendam defence strength 1.188
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 53 / 19