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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Ajax Win
61%
1.63
22%
4.54
17%
6.00
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
11.9%
Home win
Most likely
2 – 0
11.3%
Home win
1 – 1
10.4%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.90
Ajax xG
Total xG
2.77
0.88
AZ Alkmaar xG
AjaxDrawAZ Alkmaar
1.63
61%
Home win
4.54
22%
Draw
6.00
17%
Away win
Goals Markets
76%
Over 1.5
1.32
24%
Under 1.5
4.17
52%
Over 2.5
1.92
48%
Under 2.5
2.08
30%
Over 3.5
3.33
70%
Under 3.5
1.43
15%
Over 4.5
6.67
85%
Under 4.5
1.18
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
50%
BTTS Yes
2.01
50%
BTTS No
1.99
Clean Sheet
42%
2.40
15%
6.67
Win to Nil
26%
3.91
3%
39.99
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.3 | 5.5 | 2.4 | 0.7 | 0.2 | – |
| 1 | 11.9 | 10.4 | 4.5 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 11.3 | 9.8 | 4.3 | 1.3 | 0.3 | – |
| 3 | 7.1 | 6.2 | 2.7 | 0.8 | 0.2 | – |
| 4 | 3.4 | 3.0 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.897
λ Away (xG)
0.875
Total xG
2.772
League avg home goals
1.594
League avg away goals
1.305
Ajax attack strength
1.309
Ajax defence strength
0.661
AZ Alkmaar attack strength
1.014
AZ Alkmaar defence strength
0.909
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
59 / 58