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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Quarter-finals

Kick-off

Sat 9 May 2026

15:30

Venue

Koning Willem II Stadion

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Willem II Win

45%

Willem II

2.21

25%

Draw

3.99

30%

Waalwijk

3.37

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.9%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.8%

Home win

2 – 1

9.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.55

Willem II xG

Total xG

2.76

1.21

Waalwijk xG

45%
25%
30%
Willem IIDrawWaalwijk

2.21

45%

Home win

3.99

25%

Draw

3.37

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.81

45%

BTTS No

2.23

Clean Sheet

30%

Willem II

3.34

21%

Waalwijk

4.71

Win to Nil

14%

Willem II

7.39

6%

Waalwijk

15.85

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.4 7.7 4.6 1.9 0.6 0.1
1 9.8 11.9 7.2 2.9 0.9 0.2
2 7.6 9.2 5.6 2.2 0.7 0.2
3 3.9 4.8 2.9 1.2 0.3 0.1
4 1.5 1.8 1.1 0.4 0.1
5 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.549
λ Away (xG) 1.207
Total xG 2.756
League avg home goals 1.644
League avg away goals 1.421
Willem II attack strength 0.838
Willem II defence strength 0.730
Waalwijk attack strength 1.163
Waalwijk defence strength 1.125
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 38 / 38