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Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 2

Kick-off

Sun 17 Aug 2025

15:45

Venue

Koning Willem II Stadion

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

FC Eindhoven Win

31%

Willem II

3.20

24%

Draw

4.11

44%

FC Eindhoven

2.25

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.1%

Away win

0 – 1

8.6%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.31

Willem II xG

Total xG

2.92

1.61

FC Eindhoven xG

31%
24%
44%
Willem IIDrawFC Eindhoven

3.20

31%

Home win

4.11

24%

Draw

2.25

44%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

56%

Over 2.5

1.79

44%

Under 2.5

2.27

34%

Over 3.5

2.94

66%

Under 3.5

1.52

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

59%

BTTS Yes

1.71

41%

BTTS No

2.41

Clean Sheet

20%

Willem II

5.00

27%

FC Eindhoven

3.72

Win to Nil

6%

Willem II

16.00

12%

FC Eindhoven

8.39

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.4 8.6 7.0 3.7 1.5 0.5
1 7.1 11.4 9.1 4.9 2.0 0.6
2 4.6 7.5 6.0 3.2 1.3 0.4
3 2.0 3.3 2.6 1.4 0.6 0.2
4 0.7 1.1 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.314
λ Away (xG) 1.610
Total xG 2.924
League avg home goals 1.679
League avg away goals 1.291
Willem II attack strength 0.860
Willem II defence strength 1.150
FC Eindhoven attack strength 1.084
FC Eindhoven defence strength 0.910
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 1 / 39