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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Sat 6 Dec 2025

15:30

Venue

Koning Willem II Stadion

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Dordrecht Win

29%

Willem II

3.44

28%

Draw

3.59

43%

Dordrecht

2.32

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.9%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

12.3%

Away win

1 – 0

9.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.05

Willem II xG

Total xG

2.38

1.33

Dordrecht xG

29%
28%
43%
Willem IIDrawDordrecht

3.44

29%

Home win

3.59

28%

Draw

2.32

43%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.08

52%

BTTS No

1.92

Clean Sheet

26%

Willem II

3.80

35%

Dordrecht

2.85

Win to Nil

8%

Willem II

13.04

15%

Dordrecht

6.61

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.3 12.3 8.2 3.7 1.2 0.3
1 9.7 12.9 8.6 3.8 1.3 0.3
2 5.1 6.8 4.5 2.0 0.7 0.2
3 1.8 2.4 1.6 0.7 0.2 0.1
4 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.046
λ Away (xG) 1.334
Total xG 2.380
League avg home goals 1.709
League avg away goals 1.459
Willem II attack strength 0.735
Willem II defence strength 1.000
Dordrecht attack strength 0.915
Dordrecht defence strength 0.833
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 18 / 56