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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Sun 8 Mar 2026

13:30

Venue

Koning Willem II Stadion

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Willem II Win

54%

Willem II

1.86

25%

Draw

4.04

22%

Den Bosch

4.64

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.8%

Home win

2 – 1

9.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.75

Willem II xG

Total xG

2.78

1.03

Den Bosch xG

54%
25%
22%
Willem IIDrawDen Bosch

1.86

54%

Home win

4.04

25%

Draw

4.64

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.86

46%

BTTS No

2.16

Clean Sheet

36%

Willem II

2.80

17%

Den Bosch

5.77

Win to Nil

19%

Willem II

5.22

4%

Den Bosch

26.74

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.2 6.4 3.3 1.1 0.3 0.1
1 10.8 11.2 5.8 2.0 0.5 0.1
2 9.5 9.8 5.0 1.7 0.4 0.1
3 5.5 5.7 2.9 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 2.4 2.5 1.3 0.4 0.1
5 0.9 0.9 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.752
λ Away (xG) 1.031
Total xG 2.783
League avg home goals 1.630
League avg away goals 1.472
Willem II attack strength 0.892
Willem II defence strength 0.770
Den Bosch attack strength 0.910
Den Bosch defence strength 1.204
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 29 / 67