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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Fri 5 Dec 2025

19:00

Venue

Mandemakers Stadion

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Waalwijk Win

41%

Waalwijk

2.46

24%

Draw

4.22

36%

VVV Venlo

2.80

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.3%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.6%

Home win

1 – 2

8.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.67

Waalwijk xG

Total xG

3.22

1.55

VVV Venlo xG

41%
24%
36%
WaalwijkDrawVVV Venlo

2.46

41%

Home win

4.22

24%

Draw

2.80

36%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

62%

Over 2.5

1.61

38%

Under 2.5

2.63

40%

Over 3.5

2.50

60%

Under 3.5

1.67

22%

Over 4.5

4.55

78%

Under 4.5

1.28

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

64%

BTTS Yes

1.56

36%

BTTS No

2.79

Clean Sheet

21%

Waalwijk

4.74

19%

VVV Venlo

5.31

Win to Nil

9%

Waalwijk

11.67

7%

VVV Venlo

14.85

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.0 6.2 4.8 2.5 1.0 0.3
1 6.6 10.3 8.0 4.2 1.6 0.5
2 5.5 8.6 6.7 3.5 1.4 0.4
3 3.1 4.8 3.7 1.9 0.8 0.2
4 1.3 2.0 1.6 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.4 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.669
λ Away (xG) 1.555
Total xG 3.224
League avg home goals 1.705
League avg away goals 1.434
Waalwijk attack strength 0.924
Waalwijk defence strength 1.195
VVV Venlo attack strength 0.908
VVV Venlo defence strength 1.060
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 18 / 56