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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Round of 16

Kick-off

Fri 1 May 2026

19:00

Venue

Mandemakers Stadion

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Waalwijk Win

39%

Waalwijk

2.53

23%

Draw

4.37

38%

Roda

2.65

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.9%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.4%

Home win

1 – 2

8.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.69

Waalwijk xG

Total xG

3.34

1.65

Roda xG

39%
23%
38%
WaalwijkDrawRoda

2.53

39%

Home win

4.37

23%

Draw

2.65

38%

Away win

Goals Markets

85%

Over 1.5

1.18

15%

Under 1.5

6.67

65%

Over 2.5

1.54

35%

Under 2.5

2.86

43%

Over 3.5

2.33

57%

Under 3.5

1.75

25%

Over 4.5

4.00

75%

Under 4.5

1.33

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

66%

BTTS Yes

1.52

34%

BTTS No

2.93

Clean Sheet

19%

Waalwijk

5.21

18%

Roda

5.43

Win to Nil

8%

Waalwijk

13.20

7%

Roda

14.41

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.5 5.8 4.8 2.6 1.1 0.4
1 6.0 9.9 8.1 4.5 1.8 0.6
2 5.1 8.4 6.9 3.8 1.6 0.5
3 2.9 4.7 3.9 2.1 0.9 0.3
4 1.2 2.0 1.6 0.9 0.4 0.1
5 0.4 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.692
λ Away (xG) 1.650
Total xG 3.342
League avg home goals 1.644
League avg away goals 1.422
Waalwijk attack strength 1.206
Waalwijk defence strength 1.025
Roda attack strength 1.132
Roda defence strength 0.854
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 38 / 76