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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Tue 25 Nov 2025

19:00

Venue

Mandemakers Stadion

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Waalwijk Win

54%

Waalwijk

1.86

21%

Draw

4.71

25%

MVV

3.98

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.4%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

9.1%

Draw

2 – 0

6.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.06

Waalwijk xG

Total xG

3.43

1.36

MVV xG

54%
21%
25%
WaalwijkDrawMVV

1.86

54%

Home win

4.71

21%

Draw

3.98

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

86%

Over 1.5

1.16

14%

Under 1.5

7.14

67%

Over 2.5

1.49

33%

Under 2.5

3.03

45%

Over 3.5

2.22

55%

Under 3.5

1.82

26%

Over 4.5

3.85

74%

Under 4.5

1.35

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

65%

BTTS Yes

1.54

35%

BTTS No

2.85

Clean Sheet

26%

Waalwijk

3.90

13%

MVV

7.87

Win to Nil

14%

Waalwijk

7.28

3%

MVV

31.32

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.3 4.4 3.0 1.4 0.5 0.1
1 6.7 9.1 6.2 2.8 1.0 0.3
2 6.9 9.4 6.4 2.9 1.0 0.3
3 4.8 6.5 4.4 2.0 0.7 0.2
4 2.5 3.3 2.3 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 1.0 1.4 0.9 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.063
λ Away (xG) 1.362
Total xG 3.425
League avg home goals 1.723
League avg away goals 1.468
Waalwijk attack strength 0.983
Waalwijk defence strength 1.284
MVV attack strength 0.723
MVV defence strength 1.218
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 16 / 54