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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 38

Kick-off

Fri 24 Apr 2026

19:00

Venue

Mandemakers Stadion

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Waalwijk Win

45%

Waalwijk

2.24

23%

Draw

4.43

33%

Jong PSV U21

3.05

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.8%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.9%

Home win

1 – 2

7.5%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.82

Waalwijk xG

Total xG

3.36

1.54

Jong PSV U21 xG

45%
23%
33%
WaalwijkDrawJong PSV U21

2.24

45%

Home win

4.43

23%

Draw

3.05

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

85%

Over 1.5

1.18

15%

Under 1.5

6.67

65%

Over 2.5

1.54

35%

Under 2.5

2.86

43%

Over 3.5

2.33

57%

Under 3.5

1.75

25%

Over 4.5

4.00

75%

Under 4.5

1.33

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

66%

BTTS Yes

1.52

34%

BTTS No

2.92

Clean Sheet

22%

Waalwijk

4.65

16%

Jong PSV U21

6.17

Win to Nil

10%

Waalwijk

10.43

5%

Jong PSV U21

18.78

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.5 5.4 4.1 2.1 0.8 0.2
1 6.3 9.8 7.5 3.8 1.5 0.5
2 5.8 8.9 6.8 3.5 1.3 0.4
3 3.5 5.4 4.1 2.1 0.8 0.3
4 1.6 2.4 1.9 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.6 0.9 0.7 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.819
λ Away (xG) 1.537
Total xG 3.356
League avg home goals 1.641
League avg away goals 1.448
Waalwijk attack strength 1.095
Waalwijk defence strength 1.046
Jong PSV U21 attack strength 1.015
Jong PSV U21 defence strength 1.013
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 37 / 75