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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 15

Kick-off

Sun 9 Nov 2025

15:45

Venue

Mandemakers Stadion

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

De Graafschap Win

37%

Waalwijk

2.67

23%

Draw

4.28

39%

De Graafschap

2.55

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

8.4%

Away win

2 – 1

8.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.59

Waalwijk xG

Total xG

3.22

1.63

De Graafschap xG

37%
23%
39%
WaalwijkDrawDe Graafschap

2.67

37%

Home win

4.28

23%

Draw

2.55

39%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

62%

Over 2.5

1.61

38%

Under 2.5

2.63

40%

Over 3.5

2.50

60%

Under 3.5

1.67

22%

Over 4.5

4.55

78%

Under 4.5

1.28

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

64%

BTTS Yes

1.56

36%

BTTS No

2.77

Clean Sheet

20%

Waalwijk

5.10

20%

De Graafschap

4.89

Win to Nil

7%

Waalwijk

13.63

8%

De Graafschap

12.47

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.0 6.5 5.3 2.9 1.2 0.4
1 6.4 10.4 8.4 4.6 1.9 0.6
2 5.1 8.2 6.7 3.6 1.5 0.5
3 2.7 4.4 3.5 1.9 0.8 0.3
4 1.1 1.7 1.4 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.587
λ Away (xG) 1.629
Total xG 3.216
League avg home goals 1.717
League avg away goals 1.444
Waalwijk attack strength 1.047
Waalwijk defence strength 1.132
De Graafschap attack strength 0.997
De Graafschap defence strength 0.882
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 14 / 51