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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 4

Kick-off

Sat 30 Aug 2025

15:30

Venue

Mandemakers Stadion

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Almere City FC Win

31%

Waalwijk

3.28

24%

Draw

4.19

46%

Almere City FC

2.19

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.0%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.2%

Away win

0 – 1

8.3%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.33

Waalwijk xG

Total xG

3.01

1.68

Almere City FC xG

31%
24%
46%
WaalwijkDrawAlmere City FC

3.28

31%

Home win

4.19

24%

Draw

2.19

46%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

58%

Over 2.5

1.72

42%

Under 2.5

2.38

35%

Over 3.5

2.86

65%

Under 3.5

1.54

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.67

40%

BTTS No

2.49

Clean Sheet

19%

Waalwijk

5.34

26%

Almere City FC

3.78

Win to Nil

6%

Waalwijk

17.49

12%

Almere City FC

8.30

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.9 8.3 6.9 3.9 1.6 0.5
1 6.6 11.0 9.2 5.2 2.2 0.7
2 4.4 7.3 6.1 3.4 1.4 0.5
3 1.9 3.3 2.7 1.5 0.6 0.2
4 0.6 1.1 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.331
λ Away (xG) 1.675
Total xG 3.006
League avg home goals 1.624
League avg away goals 1.213
Waalwijk attack strength 0.805
Waalwijk defence strength 1.132
Almere City FC attack strength 1.220
Almere City FC defence strength 1.018
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 3 / 2