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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 8

Kick-off

Fri 26 Sep 2025

19:00

Venue

Mandemakers Stadion

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

ADO Den Haag Win

25%

Waalwijk

3.95

26%

Draw

3.90

49%

ADO Den Haag

2.04

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.2%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.9%

Away win

1 – 2

9.3%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.02

Waalwijk xG

Total xG

2.55

1.53

ADO Den Haag xG

25%
26%
49%
WaalwijkDrawADO Den Haag

3.95

25%

Home win

3.90

26%

Draw

2.04

49%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

1.99

50%

BTTS No

2.01

Clean Sheet

22%

Waalwijk

4.61

36%

ADO Den Haag

2.78

Win to Nil

5%

Waalwijk

18.21

18%

ADO Den Haag

5.67

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.8 11.9 9.1 4.6 1.8 0.5
1 8.0 12.2 9.3 4.7 1.8 0.6
2 4.1 6.2 4.8 2.4 0.9 0.3
3 1.4 2.1 1.6 0.8 0.3 0.1
4 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.022
λ Away (xG) 1.529
Total xG 2.551
League avg home goals 1.719
League avg away goals 1.331
Waalwijk attack strength 0.774
Waalwijk defence strength 0.948
ADO Den Haag attack strength 1.212
ADO Den Haag defence strength 0.769
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 7 / 44