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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Fri 6 Mar 2026

19:00

Venue

Seacon - De Koel

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Waalwijk Win

33%

VVV Venlo

3.02

26%

Draw

3.78

40%

Waalwijk

2.47

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.9%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

9.0%

Away win

1 – 2

8.8%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.32

VVV Venlo xG

Total xG

2.80

1.48

Waalwijk xG

33%
26%
40%
VVV VenloDrawWaalwijk

3.02

33%

Home win

3.78

26%

Draw

2.47

40%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.75

43%

BTTS No

2.34

Clean Sheet

23%

VVV Venlo

4.40

27%

Waalwijk

3.74

Win to Nil

8%

VVV Venlo

13.28

11%

Waalwijk

9.26

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.1 9.0 6.7 3.3 1.2 0.4
1 8.0 11.9 8.8 4.3 1.6 0.5
2 5.3 7.8 5.8 2.9 1.1 0.3
3 2.3 3.4 2.6 1.3 0.5 0.1
4 0.8 1.1 0.8 0.4 0.2
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.320
λ Away (xG) 1.481
Total xG 2.801
League avg home goals 1.673
League avg away goals 1.455
VVV Venlo attack strength 0.813
VVV Venlo defence strength 0.982
Waalwijk attack strength 1.036
Waalwijk defence strength 0.971
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 67 / 29