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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Fri 16 Jan 2026

19:00

Venue

Seacon - De Koel

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Jong AZ Win

36%

VVV Venlo

2.80

23%

Draw

4.36

41%

Jong AZ

2.42

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

8.6%

Away win

2 – 1

7.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.61

VVV Venlo xG

Total xG

3.36

1.75

Jong AZ xG

36%
23%
41%
VVV VenloDrawJong AZ

2.80

36%

Home win

4.36

23%

Draw

2.42

41%

Away win

Goals Markets

85%

Over 1.5

1.18

15%

Under 1.5

6.67

65%

Over 2.5

1.54

35%

Under 2.5

2.86

43%

Over 3.5

2.33

57%

Under 3.5

1.75

25%

Over 4.5

4.00

75%

Under 4.5

1.33

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

66%

BTTS Yes

1.51

34%

BTTS No

2.95

Clean Sheet

17%

VVV Venlo

5.73

20%

Jong AZ

5.01

Win to Nil

6%

VVV Venlo

16.03

8%

Jong AZ

12.12

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.5 6.1 5.3 3.1 1.3 0.5
1 5.6 9.8 8.6 5.0 2.2 0.8
2 4.5 7.9 6.9 4.0 1.7 0.6
3 2.4 4.2 3.7 2.2 0.9 0.3
4 1.0 1.7 1.5 0.9 0.4 0.1
5 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.611
λ Away (xG) 1.745
Total xG 3.356
League avg home goals 1.735
League avg away goals 1.532
VVV Venlo attack strength 0.827
VVV Venlo defence strength 0.969
Jong AZ attack strength 1.175
Jong AZ defence strength 1.123
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 59 / 60