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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Excelsior Win
20%
4.99
31%
3.18
49%
2.06
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 1
15.3%
Away win
Most likely
1 – 1
12.5%
Draw
0 – 0
11.0%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.81
VVV Venlo xG
Total xG
2.20
1.39
Excelsior xG
VVV VenloDrawExcelsior
4.99
20%
Home win
3.18
31%
Draw
2.06
49%
Away win
Goals Markets
65%
Over 1.5
1.54
35%
Under 1.5
2.86
38%
Over 2.5
2.63
62%
Under 2.5
1.61
18%
Over 3.5
5.56
82%
Under 3.5
1.22
7%
Over 4.5
14.29
93%
Under 4.5
1.08
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
44%
BTTS Yes
2.29
56%
BTTS No
1.78
Clean Sheet
25%
4.01
44%
2.26
Win to Nil
5%
20.04
22%
4.65
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.0 | 15.3 | 10.7 | 4.9 | 1.7 | 0.5 |
| 1 | 9.0 | 12.5 | 8.7 | 4.0 | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| 2 | 3.7 | 5.1 | 3.5 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.2 | – |
| 4 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
0.814
λ Away (xG)
1.390
Total xG
2.204
League avg home goals
1.535
League avg away goals
1.414
VVV Venlo attack strength
0.664
VVV Venlo defence strength
1.049
Excelsior attack strength
0.937
Excelsior defence strength
0.799
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
57 / 19