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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 36

Kick-off

Sat 11 Apr 2026

15:30

Venue

Seacon - De Koel

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

De Graafschap Win

29%

VVV Venlo

3.49

25%

Draw

4.05

47%

De Graafschap

2.14

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.7%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

9.7%

Away win

1 – 2

9.3%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.20

VVV Venlo xG

Total xG

2.80

1.60

De Graafschap xG

29%
25%
47%
VVV VenloDrawDe Graafschap

3.49

29%

Home win

4.05

25%

Draw

2.14

47%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.79

44%

BTTS No

2.26

Clean Sheet

20%

VVV Venlo

4.95

30%

De Graafschap

3.32

Win to Nil

6%

VVV Venlo

17.29

14%

De Graafschap

7.12

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.1 9.7 7.8 4.2 1.7 0.5
1 7.3 11.7 9.3 5.0 2.0 0.6
2 4.4 7.0 5.6 3.0 1.2 0.4
3 1.8 2.8 2.2 1.2 0.5 0.2
4 0.5 0.8 0.7 0.4 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.200
λ Away (xG) 1.600
Total xG 2.800
League avg home goals 1.610
League avg away goals 1.474
VVV Venlo attack strength 0.790
VVV Venlo defence strength 0.926
De Graafschap attack strength 1.172
De Graafschap defence strength 0.944
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 73 / 73