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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 36

Kick-off

Mon 28 Apr 2025

19:00

Venue

Covebo Stadion - De Koel -

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

VVV Venlo Win

43%

VVV Venlo

2.34

29%

Draw

3.46

28%

De Graafschap

3.52

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.9%

Home win

0 – 1

9.3%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.37

VVV Venlo xG

Total xG

2.45

1.07

De Graafschap xG

43%
29%
28%
VVV VenloDrawDe Graafschap

2.34

43%

Home win

3.46

29%

Draw

3.52

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

2.00

50%

BTTS No

2.00

Clean Sheet

34%

VVV Venlo

2.93

25%

De Graafschap

3.95

Win to Nil

15%

VVV Venlo

6.85

7%

De Graafschap

13.93

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.6 9.3 5.0 1.8 0.5 0.1
1 11.9 12.8 6.9 2.5 0.7 0.1
2 8.2 8.8 4.7 1.7 0.5 0.1
3 3.7 4.0 2.2 0.8 0.2
4 1.3 1.4 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.374
λ Away (xG) 1.074
Total xG 2.448
League avg home goals 1.679
League avg away goals 1.255
VVV Venlo attack strength 0.874
VVV Venlo defence strength 0.969
De Graafschap attack strength 0.883
De Graafschap defence strength 0.936
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 73 / 73