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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 38

Kick-off

Fri 24 Apr 2026

19:00

Venue

Seacon - De Koel

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Almere City FC Win

37%

VVV Venlo

2.73

22%

Draw

4.46

41%

Almere City FC

2.44

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

8.4%

Away win

2 – 1

7.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.68

VVV Venlo xG

Total xG

3.46

1.78

Almere City FC xG

37%
22%
41%
VVV VenloDrawAlmere City FC

2.73

37%

Home win

4.46

22%

Draw

2.44

41%

Away win

Goals Markets

86%

Over 1.5

1.16

14%

Under 1.5

7.14

67%

Over 2.5

1.49

33%

Under 2.5

3.03

45%

Over 3.5

2.22

55%

Under 3.5

1.82

27%

Over 4.5

3.70

73%

Under 4.5

1.37

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

68%

BTTS Yes

1.48

32%

BTTS No

3.08

Clean Sheet

17%

VVV Venlo

5.92

19%

Almere City FC

5.34

Win to Nil

6%

VVV Venlo

16.15

8%

Almere City FC

13.06

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.2 5.6 5.0 3.0 1.3 0.5
1 5.3 9.4 8.4 5.0 2.2 0.8
2 4.4 7.9 7.0 4.2 1.9 0.7
3 2.5 4.4 3.9 2.3 1.0 0.4
4 1.0 1.8 1.6 1.0 0.4 0.2
5 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.676
λ Away (xG) 1.779
Total xG 3.455
League avg home goals 1.641
League avg away goals 1.448
VVV Venlo attack strength 0.881
VVV Venlo defence strength 1.024
Almere City FC attack strength 1.200
Almere City FC defence strength 1.160
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 75 / 37