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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 38

Kick-off

Fri 9 May 2025

19:00

Venue

Covebo Stadion - De Koel -

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

ADO Den Haag Win

31%

VVV Venlo

3.21

27%

Draw

3.64

41%

ADO Den Haag

2.42

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.0%

Away win

1 – 0

9.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.15

VVV Venlo xG

Total xG

2.52

1.37

ADO Den Haag xG

31%
27%
41%
VVV VenloDrawADO Den Haag

3.21

31%

Home win

3.64

27%

Draw

2.42

41%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.95

49%

BTTS No

2.06

Clean Sheet

25%

VVV Venlo

3.93

32%

ADO Den Haag

3.16

Win to Nil

8%

VVV Venlo

12.61

13%

ADO Den Haag

7.64

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.0 11.0 7.5 3.4 1.2 0.3
1 9.3 12.7 8.7 4.0 1.4 0.4
2 5.3 7.3 5.0 2.3 0.8 0.2
3 2.1 2.8 1.9 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.6 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.152
λ Away (xG) 1.368
Total xG 2.520
League avg home goals 1.695
League avg away goals 1.250
VVV Venlo attack strength 0.979
VVV Venlo defence strength 0.979
ADO Den Haag attack strength 1.118
ADO Den Haag defence strength 0.694
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 75 / 75