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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Wed 10 Dec 2025

19:00

Venue

GelreDome

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Vitesse Win

40%

Vitesse

2.51

26%

Draw

3.84

34%

Waalwijk

2.94

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

8.8%

Home win

2 – 1

8.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.47

Vitesse xG

Total xG

2.82

1.34

Waalwijk xG

40%
26%
34%
VitesseDrawWaalwijk

2.51

40%

Home win

3.84

26%

Draw

2.94

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.74

43%

BTTS No

2.35

Clean Sheet

26%

Vitesse

3.83

23%

Waalwijk

4.37

Win to Nil

10%

Vitesse

9.61

8%

Waalwijk

12.84

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.0 8.0 5.4 2.4 0.8 0.2
1 8.8 11.8 8.0 3.6 1.2 0.3
2 6.5 8.7 5.9 2.6 0.9 0.2
3 3.2 4.3 2.9 1.3 0.4 0.1
4 1.2 1.6 1.1 0.5 0.2
5 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.474
λ Away (xG) 1.344
Total xG 2.818
League avg home goals 1.710
League avg away goals 1.446
Vitesse attack strength 0.847
Vitesse defence strength 1.032
Waalwijk attack strength 0.901
Waalwijk defence strength 1.018
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 56 / 19