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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 37

Kick-off

Fri 17 Apr 2026

19:00

Venue

GelreDome

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Vitesse Win

65%

Vitesse

1.54

18%

Draw

5.42

17%

MVV

6.03

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.6%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

8.5%

Home win

1 – 1

8.1%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.37

Vitesse xG

Total xG

3.49

1.12

MVV xG

65%
18%
17%
VitesseDrawMVV

1.54

65%

Home win

5.42

18%

Draw

6.03

17%

Away win

Goals Markets

86%

Over 1.5

1.16

14%

Under 1.5

7.14

68%

Over 2.5

1.47

32%

Under 2.5

3.12

46%

Over 3.5

2.17

54%

Under 3.5

1.85

27%

Over 4.5

3.70

73%

Under 4.5

1.37

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

61%

BTTS Yes

1.64

39%

BTTS No

2.57

Clean Sheet

33%

Vitesse

3.07

9%

MVV

10.65

Win to Nil

21%

Vitesse

4.73

2%

MVV

64.22

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.1 3.4 1.9 0.7 0.2
1 7.2 8.1 4.6 1.7 0.5 0.1
2 8.5 9.6 5.4 2.0 0.6 0.1
3 6.7 7.6 4.2 1.6 0.4 0.1
4 4.0 4.5 2.5 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 1.9 2.1 1.2 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.366
λ Away (xG) 1.123
Total xG 3.489
League avg home goals 1.599
League avg away goals 1.483
Vitesse attack strength 1.189
Vitesse defence strength 1.090
MVV attack strength 0.695
MVV defence strength 1.244
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 74 / 74