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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 10

Kick-off

Fri 3 Oct 2025

19:00

Venue

GelreDome

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Vitesse Win

68%

Vitesse

1.48

18%

Draw

5.57

14%

Jong Utrecht

6.93

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

9.6%

Home win

1 – 1

8.2%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.37

Vitesse xG

Total xG

3.37

1.00

Jong Utrecht xG

68%
18%
14%
VitesseDrawJong Utrecht

1.48

68%

Home win

5.57

18%

Draw

6.93

14%

Away win

Goals Markets

85%

Over 1.5

1.18

15%

Under 1.5

6.67

65%

Over 2.5

1.54

35%

Under 2.5

2.86

44%

Over 3.5

2.27

56%

Under 3.5

1.79

25%

Over 4.5

4.00

75%

Under 4.5

1.33

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.74

43%

BTTS No

2.35

Clean Sheet

37%

Vitesse

2.73

9%

Jong Utrecht

10.65

Win to Nil

25%

Vitesse

4.04

1%

Jong Utrecht

73.89

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.4 3.5 1.7 0.6 0.1
1 8.1 8.2 4.1 1.4 0.3 0.1
2 9.6 9.7 4.9 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 7.6 7.6 3.8 1.3 0.3 0.1
4 4.5 4.5 2.3 0.8 0.2
5 2.1 2.1 1.1 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.366
λ Away (xG) 1.004
Total xG 3.370
League avg home goals 1.733
League avg away goals 1.392
Vitesse attack strength 1.042
Vitesse defence strength 1.068
Jong Utrecht attack strength 0.675
Jong Utrecht defence strength 1.310
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 43 / 47