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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Fri 27 Feb 2026

19:00

Venue

GelreDome

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Jong AZ Win

27%

Vitesse

3.77

22%

Draw

4.48

51%

Jong AZ

1.95

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 2

9.0%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

8.5%

Draw

2 – 2

6.8%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.50

Vitesse xG

Total xG

3.61

2.12

Jong AZ xG

27%
22%
51%
VitesseDrawJong AZ

3.77

27%

Home win

4.48

22%

Draw

1.95

51%

Away win

Goals Markets

88%

Over 1.5

1.14

12%

Under 1.5

8.33

70%

Over 2.5

1.43

30%

Under 2.5

3.33

49%

Over 3.5

2.04

51%

Under 3.5

1.96

30%

Over 4.5

3.33

70%

Under 4.5

1.43

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

69%

BTTS Yes

1.45

31%

BTTS No

3.22

Clean Sheet

12%

Vitesse

8.29

22%

Jong AZ

4.47

Win to Nil

3%

Vitesse

31.23

11%

Jong AZ

8.74

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.7 5.7 6.0 4.3 2.2 1.0
1 4.0 8.5 9.0 6.4 3.4 1.4
2 3.0 6.4 6.8 4.8 2.5 1.1
3 1.5 3.2 3.4 2.4 1.3 0.5
4 0.6 1.2 1.3 0.9 0.5 0.2
5 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.498
λ Away (xG) 2.115
Total xG 3.613
League avg home goals 1.660
League avg away goals 1.455
Vitesse attack strength 0.936
Vitesse defence strength 1.004
Jong AZ attack strength 1.447
Jong AZ defence strength 0.964
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 66 / 66