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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 33

Kick-off

Fri 4 Apr 2025

19:00

Venue

GelreDome

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Jong AZ Win

26%

Vitesse

3.90

26%

Draw

3.92

49%

Jong AZ

2.05

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.6%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.3%

Away win

1 – 2

9.5%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.13

Vitesse xG

Total xG

2.77

1.65

Jong AZ xG

26%
26%
49%
VitesseDrawJong AZ

3.90

26%

Home win

3.92

26%

Draw

2.05

49%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.81

45%

BTTS No

2.23

Clean Sheet

19%

Vitesse

5.18

32%

Jong AZ

3.09

Win to Nil

5%

Vitesse

20.21

16%

Jong AZ

6.33

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.2 10.3 8.4 4.6 1.9 0.6
1 7.0 11.6 9.5 5.2 2.1 0.7
2 4.0 6.5 5.4 3.0 1.2 0.4
3 1.5 2.5 2.0 1.1 0.5 0.2
4 0.4 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.129
λ Away (xG) 1.645
Total xG 2.774
League avg home goals 1.611
League avg away goals 1.302
Vitesse attack strength 0.724
Vitesse defence strength 1.147
Jong AZ attack strength 1.101
Jong AZ defence strength 0.969
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 32 / 69