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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 35

Kick-off

Mon 6 Apr 2026

15:45

Venue

GelreDome

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Vitesse Win

49%

Vitesse

2.04

23%

Draw

4.34

28%

Jong Ajax

3.57

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.5%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

1 – 0

8.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.80

Vitesse xG

Total xG

3.12

1.31

Jong Ajax xG

49%
23%
28%
VitesseDrawJong Ajax

2.04

49%

Home win

4.34

23%

Draw

3.57

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

60%

Over 2.5

1.67

40%

Under 2.5

2.50

38%

Over 3.5

2.63

62%

Under 3.5

1.61

20%

Over 4.5

5.00

80%

Under 4.5

1.25

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

61%

BTTS Yes

1.64

39%

BTTS No

2.57

Clean Sheet

27%

Vitesse

3.72

16%

Jong Ajax

6.07

Win to Nil

13%

Vitesse

7.59

5%

Jong Ajax

21.69

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.4 5.8 3.8 1.7 0.5 0.1
1 8.0 10.5 6.9 3.0 1.0 0.3
2 7.2 9.5 6.2 2.7 0.9 0.2
3 4.3 5.7 3.7 1.6 0.5 0.1
4 2.0 2.6 1.7 0.7 0.2 0.1
5 0.7 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.803
λ Away (xG) 1.313
Total xG 3.116
League avg home goals 1.559
League avg away goals 1.528
Vitesse attack strength 1.020
Vitesse defence strength 1.072
Jong Ajax attack strength 0.802
Jong Ajax defence strength 1.133
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 72 / 72