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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Sun 16 Feb 2025

11:15

Venue

GelreDome

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

De Graafschap Win

24%

Vitesse

4.14

24%

Draw

4.16

52%

De Graafschap

1.93

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.2%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.1%

Away win

1 – 2

9.7%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.11

Vitesse xG

Total xG

2.84

1.73

De Graafschap xG

24%
24%
52%
VitesseDrawDe Graafschap

4.14

24%

Home win

4.16

24%

Draw

1.93

52%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

54%

Over 2.5

1.85

46%

Under 2.5

2.17

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.81

45%

BTTS No

2.24

Clean Sheet

18%

Vitesse

5.65

33%

De Graafschap

3.04

Win to Nil

4%

Vitesse

23.37

17%

De Graafschap

5.87

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.8 10.1 8.7 5.0 2.2 0.8
1 6.5 11.2 9.7 5.6 2.4 0.8
2 3.6 6.2 5.4 3.1 1.3 0.5
3 1.3 2.3 2.0 1.2 0.5 0.2
4 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.111
λ Away (xG) 1.732
Total xG 2.843
League avg home goals 1.649
League avg away goals 1.259
Vitesse attack strength 0.729
Vitesse defence strength 1.486
De Graafschap attack strength 0.926
De Graafschap defence strength 0.924
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 25 / 63