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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 31

Kick-off

Fri 13 Mar 2026

19:00

Venue

GelreDome

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Vitesse Win

48%

Vitesse

2.06

22%

Draw

4.46

29%

Almere City FC

3.44

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

8.9%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

8.7%

Draw

2 – 2

6.9%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.04

Vitesse xG

Total xG

3.60

1.56

Almere City FC xG

48%
22%
29%
VitesseDrawAlmere City FC

2.06

48%

Home win

4.46

22%

Draw

3.44

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

87%

Over 1.5

1.15

13%

Under 1.5

7.69

70%

Over 2.5

1.43

30%

Under 2.5

3.33

48%

Over 3.5

2.08

52%

Under 3.5

1.92

29%

Over 4.5

3.45

71%

Under 4.5

1.41

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

69%

BTTS Yes

1.45

31%

BTTS No

3.24

Clean Sheet

21%

Vitesse

4.74

13%

Almere City FC

7.68

Win to Nil

10%

Vitesse

9.78

4%

Almere City FC

26.39

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.7 4.3 3.3 1.7 0.7 0.2
1 5.6 8.7 6.8 3.5 1.4 0.4
2 5.7 8.9 6.9 3.6 1.4 0.4
3 3.9 6.0 4.7 2.4 0.9 0.3
4 2.0 3.1 2.4 1.2 0.5 0.2
5 0.8 1.3 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.039
λ Away (xG) 1.557
Total xG 3.596
League avg home goals 1.620
League avg away goals 1.476
Vitesse attack strength 0.983
Vitesse defence strength 0.898
Almere City FC attack strength 1.174
Almere City FC defence strength 1.280
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 68 / 30