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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Fri 28 Mar 2025

19:00

Venue

711 Stadion

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Telstar Win

78%

Telstar

1.28

12%

Draw

8.12

9%

Vitesse

10.70

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

3 – 1

8.1%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 1

7.5%

Home win

3 – 0

7.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

3.25

Telstar xG

Total xG

4.38

1.13

Vitesse xG

78%
12%
TelstarDrawVitesse

1.28

78%

Home win

8.12

12%

Draw

10.70

9%

Away win

Goals Markets

93%

Over 1.5

1.08

7%

Under 1.5

14.29

81%

Over 2.5

1.23

19%

Under 2.5

5.26

64%

Over 3.5

1.56

36%

Under 3.5

2.78

44%

Over 4.5

2.27

56%

Under 4.5

1.79

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

65%

BTTS Yes

1.54

35%

BTTS No

2.86

Clean Sheet

32%

Telstar

3.08

4%

Vitesse

25.89

Win to Nil

25%

Telstar

3.94

0%

Vitesse

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.3 1.4 0.8 0.3 0.1
1 4.1 4.6 2.6 1.0 0.3 0.1
2 6.6 7.5 4.2 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 7.2 8.1 4.6 1.7 0.5 0.1
4 5.9 6.6 3.7 1.4 0.4 0.1
5 3.8 4.3 2.4 0.9 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 3.254
λ Away (xG) 1.126
Total xG 4.380
League avg home goals 1.642
League avg away goals 1.273
Telstar attack strength 1.453
Telstar defence strength 0.809
Vitesse attack strength 1.094
Vitesse defence strength 1.364
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 69 / 31