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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Sat 25 Jan 2025

15:30

Venue

711 Stadion

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Telstar Win

66%

Telstar

1.53

20%

Draw

4.89

14%

Jong Ajax

7.13

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

11.1%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

10.4%

Home win

2 – 1

9.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.13

Telstar xG

Total xG

3.02

0.89

Jong Ajax xG

66%
20%
14%
TelstarDrawJong Ajax

1.53

66%

Home win

4.89

20%

Draw

7.13

14%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

58%

Over 2.5

1.72

42%

Under 2.5

2.38

36%

Over 3.5

2.78

64%

Under 3.5

1.56

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.91

48%

BTTS No

2.09

Clean Sheet

41%

Telstar

2.43

12%

Jong Ajax

8.43

Win to Nil

27%

Telstar

3.70

2%

Jong Ajax

60.10

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.9 4.3 1.9 0.6 0.1
1 10.4 9.2 4.1 1.2 0.3
2 11.1 9.8 4.4 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 7.9 7.0 3.1 0.9 0.2
4 4.2 3.7 1.7 0.5 0.1
5 1.8 1.6 0.7 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.132
λ Away (xG) 0.886
Total xG 3.018
League avg home goals 1.627
League avg away goals 1.319
Telstar attack strength 1.105
Telstar defence strength 0.779
Jong Ajax attack strength 0.862
Jong Ajax defence strength 1.185
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 60 / 60