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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 35

Kick-off

Mon 6 Apr 2026

15:45

Venue

Parkstad Limburg Stadion

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Willem II Win

19%

Roda

5.31

22%

Draw

4.62

60%

Willem II

1.68

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

10.2%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

10.2%

Draw

0 – 2

10.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.00

Roda xG

Total xG

2.95

1.95

Willem II xG

19%
22%
60%
RodaDrawWillem II

5.31

19%

Home win

4.62

22%

Draw

1.68

60%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

56%

Over 2.5

1.79

44%

Under 2.5

2.27

34%

Over 3.5

2.94

66%

Under 3.5

1.52

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.85

46%

BTTS No

2.18

Clean Sheet

14%

Roda

7.01

37%

Willem II

2.71

Win to Nil

3%

Roda

37.23

22%

Willem II

4.56

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.3 10.2 10.0 6.5 3.2 1.2
1 5.2 10.2 10.0 6.5 3.1 1.2
2 2.6 5.1 5.0 3.2 1.6 0.6
3 0.9 1.7 1.7 1.1 0.5 0.2
4 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.998
λ Away (xG) 1.948
Total xG 2.946
League avg home goals 1.559
League avg away goals 1.528
Roda attack strength 0.773
Roda defence strength 1.048
Willem II attack strength 1.217
Willem II defence strength 0.828
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 72 / 34