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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 7

Kick-off

Fri 19 Sep 2025

19:00

Venue

Parkstad Limburg Stadion

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Roda Win

52%

Roda

1.93

25%

Draw

3.98

23%

Waalwijk

4.31

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.2%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.9%

Draw

2 – 0

9.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.59

Roda xG

Total xG

2.57

0.97

Waalwijk xG

52%
25%
23%
RodaDrawWaalwijk

1.93

52%

Home win

3.98

25%

Draw

4.31

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

2.02

50%

BTTS No

1.98

Clean Sheet

38%

Roda

2.65

20%

Waalwijk

4.91

Win to Nil

20%

Roda

5.13

5%

Waalwijk

21.18

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.7 7.5 3.7 1.2 0.3 0.1
1 12.2 11.9 5.8 1.9 0.5 0.1
2 9.7 9.5 4.6 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 5.2 5.0 2.5 0.8 0.2
4 2.1 2.0 1.0 0.3 0.1
5 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.591
λ Away (xG) 0.975
Total xG 2.566
League avg home goals 1.701
League avg away goals 1.279
Roda attack strength 0.864
Roda defence strength 0.973
Waalwijk attack strength 0.784
Waalwijk defence strength 1.083
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 44 / 6