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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Sun 22 Feb 2026

11:15

Venue

Parkstad Limburg Stadion

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Roda Win

57%

Roda

1.77

22%

Draw

4.51

21%

MVV

4.70

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

9.4%

Draw

2 – 0

8.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.08

Roda xG

Total xG

3.30

1.22

MVV xG

57%
22%
21%
RodaDrawMVV

1.77

57%

Home win

4.51

22%

Draw

4.70

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

84%

Over 1.5

1.19

16%

Under 1.5

6.25

64%

Over 2.5

1.56

36%

Under 2.5

2.78

42%

Over 3.5

2.38

58%

Under 3.5

1.72

24%

Over 4.5

4.17

76%

Under 4.5

1.32

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

62%

BTTS Yes

1.61

38%

BTTS No

2.65

Clean Sheet

30%

Roda

3.38

13%

MVV

7.99

Win to Nil

17%

Roda

5.99

3%

MVV

37.52

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.7 4.5 2.7 1.1 0.3 0.1
1 7.7 9.4 5.7 2.3 0.7 0.2
2 8.0 9.7 5.9 2.4 0.7 0.2
3 5.5 6.7 4.1 1.7 0.5 0.1
4 2.9 3.5 2.1 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 1.2 1.5 0.9 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.078
λ Away (xG) 1.219
Total xG 3.297
League avg home goals 1.689
League avg away goals 1.479
Roda attack strength 0.924
Roda defence strength 1.133
MVV attack strength 0.728
MVV defence strength 1.332
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 65 / 65