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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Fri 5 Dec 2025

19:00

Venue

Parkstad Limburg Stadion

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Roda Win

44%

Roda

2.26

23%

Draw

4.40

33%

Jong AZ

3.03

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.5%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.8%

Home win

1 – 2

7.5%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.85

Roda xG

Total xG

3.43

1.58

Jong AZ xG

44%
23%
33%
RodaDrawJong AZ

2.26

44%

Home win

4.40

23%

Draw

3.03

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

86%

Over 1.5

1.16

14%

Under 1.5

7.14

67%

Over 2.5

1.49

33%

Under 2.5

3.03

45%

Over 3.5

2.22

55%

Under 3.5

1.82

26%

Over 4.5

3.85

74%

Under 4.5

1.35

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

67%

BTTS Yes

1.49

33%

BTTS No

3.04

Clean Sheet

21%

Roda

4.84

16%

Jong AZ

6.37

Win to Nil

9%

Roda

10.91

5%

Jong AZ

19.34

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.2 5.1 4.0 2.1 0.8 0.3
1 6.0 9.5 7.5 3.9 1.5 0.5
2 5.6 8.8 6.9 3.6 1.4 0.5
3 3.4 5.4 4.3 2.2 0.9 0.3
4 1.6 2.5 2.0 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.6 0.9 0.7 0.4 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.852
λ Away (xG) 1.576
Total xG 3.428
League avg home goals 1.705
League avg away goals 1.434
Roda attack strength 1.000
Roda defence strength 0.933
Jong AZ attack strength 1.179
Jong AZ defence strength 1.086
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 56 / 56