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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Fri 7 Feb 2025

19:00

Venue

Parkstad Limburg Stadion

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Roda Win

50%

Roda

2.01

29%

Draw

3.47

21%

Jong AZ

4.67

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

15.2%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

0 – 0

10.9%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.40

Roda xG

Total xG

2.22

0.82

Jong AZ xG

50%
29%
21%
RodaDrawJong AZ

2.01

50%

Home win

3.47

29%

Draw

4.67

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

65%

Over 1.5

1.54

35%

Under 1.5

2.86

38%

Over 2.5

2.63

62%

Under 2.5

1.61

18%

Over 3.5

5.56

82%

Under 3.5

1.22

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

43%

BTTS Yes

2.34

57%

BTTS No

1.75

Clean Sheet

44%

Roda

2.27

25%

Jong AZ

4.03

Win to Nil

22%

Roda

4.57

5%

Jong AZ

18.85

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.9 9.0 3.7 1.0 0.2
1 15.2 12.5 5.1 1.4 0.3
2 10.6 8.7 3.6 1.0 0.2
3 4.9 4.1 1.7 0.5 0.1
4 1.7 1.4 0.6 0.2
5 0.5 0.4 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.395
λ Away (xG) 0.821
Total xG 2.216
League avg home goals 1.644
League avg away goals 1.288
Roda attack strength 0.898
Roda defence strength 0.718
Jong AZ attack strength 0.888
Jong AZ defence strength 0.944
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 62 / 62