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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 5

Kick-off

Fri 12 Sep 2025

19:00

Venue

Parkstad Limburg Stadion

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Roda Win

53%

Roda

1.89

25%

Draw

3.94

22%

Jong Ajax

4.63

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.3%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.0%

Draw

2 – 0

10.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.57

Roda xG

Total xG

2.47

0.90

Jong Ajax xG

53%
25%
22%
RodaDrawJong Ajax

1.89

53%

Home win

3.94

25%

Draw

4.63

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.13

53%

BTTS No

1.89

Clean Sheet

41%

Roda

2.46

21%

Jong Ajax

4.80

Win to Nil

22%

Roda

4.64

4%

Jong Ajax

22.23

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.5 7.6 3.4 1.0 0.2
1 13.3 12.0 5.4 1.6 0.4 0.1
2 10.4 9.4 4.2 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 5.5 4.9 2.2 0.7 0.1
4 2.1 1.9 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.569
λ Away (xG) 0.900
Total xG 2.469
League avg home goals 1.655
League avg away goals 1.221
Roda attack strength 0.797
Roda defence strength 0.771
Jong Ajax attack strength 0.956
Jong Ajax defence strength 1.190
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 42 / 42