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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 33

Kick-off

Fri 20 Mar 2026

19:00

Venue

Parkstad Limburg Stadion

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Roda Win

51%

Roda

1.95

26%

Draw

3.91

23%

Helmond Sport

4.34

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.8%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.1%

Draw

2 – 0

9.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.54

Roda xG

Total xG

2.49

0.94

Helmond Sport xG

51%
26%
23%
RodaDrawHelmond Sport

1.95

51%

Home win

3.91

26%

Draw

4.34

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.08

52%

BTTS No

1.92

Clean Sheet

39%

Roda

2.57

21%

Helmond Sport

4.69

Win to Nil

20%

Roda

4.99

5%

Helmond Sport

20.36

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.3 7.8 3.7 1.2 0.3 0.1
1 12.8 12.1 5.7 1.8 0.4 0.1
2 9.9 9.3 4.4 1.4 0.3 0.1
3 5.1 4.8 2.3 0.7 0.2
4 2.0 1.9 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.545
λ Away (xG) 0.942
Total xG 2.487
League avg home goals 1.560
League avg away goals 1.448
Roda attack strength 0.789
Roda defence strength 1.066
Helmond Sport attack strength 0.611
Helmond Sport defence strength 1.255
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 70 / 70