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Roda vs Dordrecht – Predictions

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Fri 13 Dec 2024

19:00

Venue

Parkstad Limburg Stadion

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Roda Win

52%

Roda

1.91

27%

Draw

3.76

21%

Dordrecht

4.77

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.9%

Home win

2 – 1

9.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.74

Roda xG

Total xG

2.77

1.03

Dordrecht xG

52%
27%
21%
RodaDrawDordrecht

1.91

52%

Home win

3.76

27%

Draw

4.77

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.83

45%

BTTS No

2.20

Clean Sheet

36%

Roda

2.81

18%

Dordrecht

5.69

Win to Nil

19%

Roda

5.36

4%

Dordrecht

27.15

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.2 6.5 3.3 1.2 0.3 0.1
1 10.9 11.2 5.8 2.0 0.5 0.1
2 9.4 9.8 5.0 1.7 0.4 0.1
3 5.5 5.7 2.9 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 2.4 2.5 1.3 0.4 0.1
5 0.8 0.9 0.4 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.739
λ Away (xG) 1.034
Total xG 2.773
League avg home goals 1.543
League avg away goals 1.406
Roda attack strength 0.997
Roda defence strength 0.695
Dordrecht attack strength 1.057
Dordrecht defence strength 1.130
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 56 / 56