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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Fri 3 Apr 2026

19:00

Venue

De Geusselt

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Waalwijk Win

30%

MVV

3.34

21%

Draw

4.67

49%

Waalwijk

2.06

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 2

8.9%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

8.7%

Draw

2 – 2

6.9%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.56

MVV xG

Total xG

3.59

2.03

Waalwijk xG

30%
21%
49%
MVVDrawWaalwijk

3.34

30%

Home win

4.67

21%

Draw

2.06

49%

Away win

Goals Markets

87%

Over 1.5

1.15

13%

Under 1.5

7.69

70%

Over 2.5

1.43

30%

Under 2.5

3.33

48%

Over 3.5

2.08

52%

Under 3.5

1.92

29%

Over 4.5

3.45

71%

Under 4.5

1.41

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

69%

BTTS Yes

1.46

31%

BTTS No

3.19

Clean Sheet

13%

MVV

7.58

21%

Waalwijk

4.77

Win to Nil

4%

MVV

25.30

10%

Waalwijk

9.82

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.8 5.6 5.7 3.8 1.9 0.8
1 4.3 8.7 8.9 6.0 3.0 1.2
2 3.4 6.8 6.9 4.7 2.4 1.0
3 1.8 3.6 3.6 2.4 1.2 0.5
4 0.7 1.4 1.4 1.0 0.5 0.2
5 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.563
λ Away (xG) 2.026
Total xG 3.589
League avg home goals 1.526
League avg away goals 1.508
MVV attack strength 1.028
MVV defence strength 1.222
Waalwijk attack strength 1.099
Waalwijk defence strength 0.996
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 71 / 33