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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Sun 22 Dec 2024

13:30

Venue

De Geusselt

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

MVV Win

44%

MVV

2.29

29%

Draw

3.45

27%

Telstar

3.66

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.9%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.0%

Home win

2 – 1

9.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.55

MVV xG

Total xG

2.75

1.19

Telstar xG

44%
29%
27%
MVVDrawTelstar

2.29

44%

Home win

3.45

29%

Draw

3.66

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.76

43%

BTTS No

2.32

Clean Sheet

30%

MVV

3.30

21%

Telstar

4.73

Win to Nil

13%

MVV

7.56

6%

Telstar

17.29

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.4 7.7 4.6 1.8 0.5 0.1
1 10.0 11.9 7.1 2.8 0.8 0.2
2 7.7 9.2 5.5 2.2 0.7 0.2
3 4.0 4.8 2.9 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 1.6 1.9 1.1 0.4 0.1
5 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.553
λ Away (xG) 1.194
Total xG 2.747
League avg home goals 1.537
League avg away goals 1.411
MVV attack strength 0.943
MVV defence strength 0.968
Telstar attack strength 0.874
Telstar defence strength 1.072
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 57 / 57