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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Sun 30 Nov 2025

11:15

Venue

De Geusselt

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

MVV Win

41%

MVV

2.46

23%

Draw

4.42

37%

Roda

2.73

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.6%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.4%

Home win

1 – 2

8.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.75

MVV xG

Total xG

3.40

1.65

Roda xG

41%
23%
37%
MVVDrawRoda

2.46

41%

Home win

4.42

23%

Draw

2.73

37%

Away win

Goals Markets

85%

Over 1.5

1.18

15%

Under 1.5

6.67

66%

Over 2.5

1.52

34%

Under 2.5

2.94

44%

Over 3.5

2.27

56%

Under 3.5

1.79

26%

Over 4.5

3.85

74%

Under 4.5

1.35

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

67%

BTTS Yes

1.50

33%

BTTS No

3.00

Clean Sheet

19%

MVV

5.21

17%

Roda

5.73

Win to Nil

8%

MVV

12.81

6%

Roda

15.62

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.3 5.5 4.6 2.5 1.0 0.3
1 5.8 9.6 8.0 4.4 1.8 0.6
2 5.1 8.4 7.0 3.8 1.6 0.5
3 3.0 4.9 4.0 2.2 0.9 0.3
4 1.3 2.1 1.8 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.746
λ Away (xG) 1.651
Total xG 3.397
League avg home goals 1.707
League avg away goals 1.473
MVV attack strength 1.030
MVV defence strength 1.196
Roda attack strength 0.937
Roda defence strength 0.993
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 55 / 55