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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Sat 1 Feb 2025

17:45

Venue

De Geusselt

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

MVV Win

58%

MVV

1.72

21%

Draw

4.73

21%

Roda

4.81

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

9.0%

Draw

2 – 0

7.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.15

MVV xG

Total xG

3.38

1.23

Roda xG

58%
21%
21%
MVVDrawRoda

1.72

58%

Home win

4.73

21%

Draw

4.81

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

85%

Over 1.5

1.18

15%

Under 1.5

6.67

66%

Over 2.5

1.52

34%

Under 2.5

2.94

44%

Over 3.5

2.27

56%

Under 3.5

1.79

25%

Over 4.5

4.00

75%

Under 4.5

1.33

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

63%

BTTS Yes

1.59

37%

BTTS No

2.70

Clean Sheet

29%

MVV

3.42

12%

Roda

8.61

Win to Nil

17%

MVV

5.90

2%

Roda

41.38

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.4 4.2 2.6 1.1 0.3 0.1
1 7.3 9.0 5.5 2.3 0.7 0.2
2 7.9 9.7 6.0 2.4 0.8 0.2
3 5.6 6.9 4.3 1.8 0.5 0.1
4 3.0 3.7 2.3 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 1.3 1.6 1.0 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.153
λ Away (xG) 1.231
Total xG 3.384
League avg home goals 1.643
League avg away goals 1.291
MVV attack strength 1.328
MVV defence strength 0.894
Roda attack strength 1.067
Roda defence strength 0.987
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 61 / 61