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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Fri 23 Jan 2026

19:00

Venue

De Geusselt

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

MVV Win

40%

MVV

2.50

24%

Draw

4.14

36%

Jong Utrecht

2.79

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.3%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.6%

Home win

1 – 2

8.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.67

MVV xG

Total xG

3.24

1.57

Jong Utrecht xG

40%
24%
36%
MVVDrawJong Utrecht

2.50

40%

Home win

4.14

24%

Draw

2.79

36%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

63%

Over 2.5

1.59

37%

Under 2.5

2.70

41%

Over 3.5

2.44

59%

Under 3.5

1.69

23%

Over 4.5

4.35

77%

Under 4.5

1.30

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

65%

BTTS Yes

1.55

35%

BTTS No

2.83

Clean Sheet

21%

MVV

4.81

19%

Jong Utrecht

5.30

Win to Nil

8%

MVV

12.05

7%

Jong Utrecht

14.76

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.9 6.2 4.8 2.5 1.0 0.3
1 6.5 10.3 8.1 4.2 1.7 0.5
2 5.5 8.6 6.7 3.5 1.4 0.4
3 3.0 4.8 3.7 2.0 0.8 0.2
4 1.3 2.0 1.6 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.4 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.667
λ Away (xG) 1.571
Total xG 3.238
League avg home goals 1.736
League avg away goals 1.540
MVV attack strength 0.924
MVV defence strength 1.018
Jong Utrecht attack strength 1.003
Jong Utrecht defence strength 1.039
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 60 / 60