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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 35

Kick-off

Fri 18 Apr 2025

19:00

Venue

De Geusselt

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

MVV Win

71%

MVV

1.40

17%

Draw

6.01

12%

Jong Utrecht

8.22

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

9.7%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 1

9.4%

Home win

3 – 0

8.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.53

MVV xG

Total xG

3.49

0.96

Jong Utrecht xG

71%
17%
12%
MVVDrawJong Utrecht

1.40

71%

Home win

6.01

17%

Draw

8.22

12%

Away win

Goals Markets

86%

Over 1.5

1.16

14%

Under 1.5

7.14

68%

Over 2.5

1.47

32%

Under 2.5

3.12

46%

Over 3.5

2.17

54%

Under 3.5

1.85

27%

Over 4.5

3.70

73%

Under 4.5

1.37

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.75

43%

BTTS No

2.33

Clean Sheet

38%

MVV

2.62

8%

Jong Utrecht

12.53

Win to Nil

27%

MVV

3.68

1%

Jong Utrecht

103.03

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.0 2.9 1.4 0.5 0.1
1 7.7 7.4 3.6 1.1 0.3 0.1
2 9.7 9.4 4.5 1.4 0.3 0.1
3 8.2 7.9 3.8 1.2 0.3 0.1
4 5.2 5.0 2.4 0.8 0.2
5 2.6 2.5 1.2 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.528
λ Away (xG) 0.963
Total xG 3.491
League avg home goals 1.667
League avg away goals 1.242
MVV attack strength 1.050
MVV defence strength 1.106
Jong Utrecht attack strength 0.701
Jong Utrecht defence strength 1.444
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 72 / 72