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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Fri 6 Feb 2026

19:00

Venue

De Geusselt

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

MVV Win

46%

MVV

2.16

23%

Draw

4.33

31%

Jong PSV U21

3.27

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

8.2%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

7.6%

Draw

2 – 2

7.2%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.15

MVV xG

Total xG

3.90

1.75

Jong PSV U21 xG

46%
23%
31%
MVVDrawJong PSV U21

2.16

46%

Home win

4.33

23%

Draw

3.27

31%

Away win

Goals Markets

90%

Over 1.5

1.11

10%

Under 1.5

10.00

75%

Over 2.5

1.33

25%

Under 2.5

4.00

55%

Over 3.5

1.82

45%

Under 3.5

2.22

35%

Over 4.5

2.86

65%

Under 4.5

1.54

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

74%

BTTS Yes

1.35

26%

BTTS No

3.87

Clean Sheet

17%

MVV

5.73

12%

Jong PSV U21

8.58

Win to Nil

8%

MVV

12.38

4%

Jong PSV U21

28.04

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.0 3.5 3.1 1.8 0.8 0.3
1 4.4 7.6 6.7 3.9 1.7 0.6
2 4.7 8.2 7.2 4.2 1.8 0.6
3 3.4 5.9 5.1 3.0 1.3 0.5
4 1.8 3.2 2.8 1.6 0.7 0.2
5 0.8 1.4 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.150
λ Away (xG) 1.746
Total xG 3.896
League avg home goals 1.770
League avg away goals 1.534
MVV attack strength 0.894
MVV defence strength 0.992
Jong PSV U21 attack strength 1.147
Jong PSV U21 defence strength 1.358
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 63 / 62