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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 16

Kick-off

Fri 21 Nov 2025

19:00

Venue

De Geusselt

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

MVV Win

43%

MVV

2.34

21%

Draw

4.67

36%

Jong AZ

2.79

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

8.3%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.1%

Home win

1 – 2

7.4%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.95

MVV xG

Total xG

3.73

1.78

Jong AZ xG

43%
21%
36%
MVVDrawJong AZ

2.34

43%

Home win

4.67

21%

Draw

2.79

36%

Away win

Goals Markets

89%

Over 1.5

1.12

11%

Under 1.5

9.09

72%

Over 2.5

1.39

28%

Under 2.5

3.57

51%

Over 3.5

1.96

49%

Under 3.5

2.04

32%

Over 4.5

3.12

68%

Under 4.5

1.47

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

71%

BTTS Yes

1.40

29%

BTTS No

3.49

Clean Sheet

17%

MVV

5.92

14%

Jong AZ

7.05

Win to Nil

7%

MVV

13.83

5%

Jong AZ

19.70

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.4 4.3 3.8 2.2 1.0 0.4
1 4.7 8.3 7.4 4.4 1.9 0.7
2 4.6 8.1 7.2 4.3 1.9 0.7
3 3.0 5.3 4.7 2.8 1.2 0.4
4 1.5 2.6 2.3 1.4 0.6 0.2
5 0.6 1.0 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.953
λ Away (xG) 1.778
Total xG 3.731
League avg home goals 1.721
League avg away goals 1.468
MVV attack strength 1.095
MVV defence strength 1.131
Jong AZ attack strength 1.071
Jong AZ defence strength 1.036
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 53 / 53