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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Fri 14 Mar 2025

19:00

Venue

De Geusselt

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

MVV Win

53%

MVV

1.89

20%

Draw

4.91

27%

Jong AZ

3.76

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

8.7%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

7.7%

Draw

2 – 2

6.9%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.26

MVV xG

Total xG

3.85

1.58

Jong AZ xG

53%
20%
27%
MVVDrawJong AZ

1.89

53%

Home win

4.91

20%

Draw

3.76

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

90%

Over 1.5

1.11

10%

Under 1.5

10.00

74%

Over 2.5

1.35

26%

Under 2.5

3.85

54%

Over 3.5

1.85

46%

Under 3.5

2.17

34%

Over 4.5

2.94

66%

Under 4.5

1.52

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

71%

BTTS Yes

1.40

29%

BTTS No

3.49

Clean Sheet

21%

MVV

4.86

10%

Jong AZ

9.62

Win to Nil

11%

MVV

9.18

3%

Jong AZ

36.13

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.1 3.4 2.7 1.4 0.6 0.2
1 4.8 7.7 6.1 3.2 1.3 0.4
2 5.5 8.7 6.9 3.6 1.4 0.5
3 4.1 6.5 5.2 2.7 1.1 0.3
4 2.3 3.7 2.9 1.5 0.6 0.2
5 1.1 1.7 1.3 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.264
λ Away (xG) 1.582
Total xG 3.846
League avg home goals 1.654
League avg away goals 1.299
MVV attack strength 1.285
MVV defence strength 1.048
Jong AZ attack strength 1.163
Jong AZ defence strength 1.065
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 67 / 67