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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 10

Kick-off

Fri 3 Oct 2025

19:00

Venue

De Geusselt

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

MVV Win

45%

MVV

2.24

28%

Draw

3.58

27%

FC Eindhoven

3.66

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.4%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.0%

Draw

0 – 0

10.2%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.32

MVV xG

Total xG

2.28

0.96

FC Eindhoven xG

45%
28%
27%
MVVDrawFC Eindhoven

2.24

45%

Home win

3.58

28%

Draw

3.66

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

67%

Over 1.5

1.49

33%

Under 1.5

3.03

40%

Over 2.5

2.50

60%

Under 2.5

1.67

20%

Over 3.5

5.00

80%

Under 3.5

1.25

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.21

55%

BTTS No

1.83

Clean Sheet

38%

MVV

2.62

27%

FC Eindhoven

3.74

Win to Nil

17%

MVV

5.87

7%

FC Eindhoven

13.66

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.2 9.8 4.7 1.5 0.4 0.1
1 13.4 13.0 6.3 2.0 0.5 0.1
2 8.9 8.5 4.1 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 3.9 3.8 1.8 0.6 0.1
4 1.3 1.2 0.6 0.2
5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.318
λ Away (xG) 0.965
Total xG 2.283
League avg home goals 1.733
League avg away goals 1.392
MVV attack strength 0.782
MVV defence strength 1.031
FC Eindhoven attack strength 0.672
FC Eindhoven defence strength 0.972
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 47 / 47