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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 2

Kick-off

Sat 16 Aug 2025

15:30

Venue

De Geusselt

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

MVV Win

53%

MVV

1.88

23%

Draw

4.29

23%

Dordrecht

4.28

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.0%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.0%

Home win

2 – 1

9.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.78

MVV xG

Total xG

2.88

1.10

Dordrecht xG

53%
23%
23%
MVVDrawDordrecht

1.88

53%

Home win

4.29

23%

Draw

4.28

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.81

45%

BTTS No

2.24

Clean Sheet

33%

MVV

3.00

17%

Dordrecht

5.92

Win to Nil

18%

MVV

5.63

4%

Dordrecht

25.31

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.6 6.2 3.4 1.2 0.3 0.1
1 10.0 11.0 6.0 2.2 0.6 0.1
2 8.9 9.8 5.4 2.0 0.5 0.1
3 5.3 5.8 3.2 1.2 0.3 0.1
4 2.3 2.6 1.4 0.5 0.1
5 0.8 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.778
λ Away (xG) 1.098
Total xG 2.876
League avg home goals 1.765
League avg away goals 1.217
MVV attack strength 1.055
MVV defence strength 0.991
Dordrecht attack strength 0.911
Dordrecht defence strength 0.955
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 39 / 39