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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 6

Kick-off

Tue 16 Sep 2025

19:00

Venue

De Geusselt

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

MVV Win

49%

MVV

2.02

25%

Draw

3.94

25%

Den Bosch

3.96

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.6%

Home win

2 – 1

9.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.56

MVV xG

Total xG

2.60

1.04

Den Bosch xG

49%
25%
25%
MVVDrawDen Bosch

2.02

49%

Home win

3.94

25%

Draw

3.96

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.96

49%

BTTS No

2.04

Clean Sheet

35%

MVV

2.82

21%

Den Bosch

4.75

Win to Nil

17%

MVV

5.72

5%

Den Bosch

18.84

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.4 7.7 4.0 1.4 0.4 0.1
1 11.6 12.1 6.3 2.2 0.6 0.1
2 9.1 9.4 4.9 1.7 0.4 0.1
3 4.7 4.9 2.5 0.9 0.2
4 1.8 1.9 1.0 0.3 0.1
5 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.559
λ Away (xG) 1.038
Total xG 2.597
League avg home goals 1.709
League avg away goals 1.244
MVV attack strength 0.784
MVV defence strength 0.919
Den Bosch attack strength 0.907
Den Bosch defence strength 1.163
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 43 / 42